CryptoReal
CASE FILE — Dec 4, 2020

Reckless Yield Farming and the Behavioral Economics of "Ape Season

"Now don't try to kid me man cub, I made a deal with you."

Throughout history, humans have tried to put distance between themselves and their primate ancestors. Roughly four billion years after life first emerged from the primordial soup, a new stage of evolution appears to be underway — except this time, some of our peers seem to be moving backward rather than forward.

Ape season, as the market's current mood has come to be called, is here. All-time highs and an unrelentingly bullish market have rewarded the reckless bets of over-leveraged traders and impatient yield farmers, though not every position turns out to be profitable, however convincingly online anonymity and a taste for spectacle make it look that way. The tax on that behavior — the losses that inevitably follow gamblers chasing unrealistic returns — has always existed. What's changed in this market is that greed now has a way of making a fool of almost everyone.

With attention fixed on record prices, being merely "all in" no longer feels sufficient; even fully-invested traders find themselves fearing they're missing out on more. Markets have traditionally rewarded some unknowable mix of luck and skill, but the current climate has shifted that equation: low-effort speculation is producing outsized percentage gains, and gamified low-quality tokens paired with anonymous yield farms are feeding traders who have given in to impulse. Lacking much appetite for either strategy or security, many are depositing first and regretting it later.

That pattern has a real analogue in primate behavior. Research on gambling monkeys has helped scientists pinpoint the brain regions tied to high-risk decision-making. In one study, two monkeys were trained to gamble against a computer for water rewards; notably, they kept making risky bets even once they were no longer thirsty, seemingly drawn to the thrill of winning rather than the reward itself. The broader takeaway from behavioral research is that risk tolerance isn't fixed — the same animal, or person, can be cautious in one context and reckless in another. That describes plenty of crypto users well: risk-averse enough to store funds on a hardware wallet, yet willing to funnel that same money into unaudited contracts advertising six-figure percentage yields. Whether that qualifies as survival of the fittest or simply earns a Darwin Award is an open question.

Away from the market noise, meanwhile, developers keep building. New financial primitives keep emerging — the origin of an entirely new species, in a sense — built as cousins to traditional financial products but ultimately headed somewhere different. Unlike traditional products that get years of development before release, crypto protocols launch directly onto the open market, where the extremes of bull and bear sentiment decide their fate almost immediately. It's a kind of digital Darwinism that plays out over blocks instead of millennia.

Two things remain certain: death and taxes. The earliest depositors capture the advertised yield; everyone who follows becomes exit liquidity once the earlier participants cash out. Gamified yield farming may be the purest expression of greater-fool dynamics in the market: buy the token, accumulate more of it, and sell to whoever hasn't started yet.

Much like tobacco or alcohol, the risks of yield farming are well known and routinely ignored anyway — the pull is simply too strong. Once burned, many farmers double down rather than step away, chasing their losses on the logic that if others are profiting, they should be able to as well. So they go all-in again: farm, dump, farm, dump — the same cycle that has already played out in incidents like Value DeFi, Pickle Finance, and Harvest Finance.

There's a certain irony in how the community treats this behavior. Tokens like HEX are widely dismissed as scams, with even a passing association seen as reputationally damaging — yet comparable mechanics are readily accepted once they're wrapped in a "food token" and marketed as yield farming. In these schemes, for every winner there's a loser; every shill serves someone's agenda, and every "moonshot" eventually leaves bagholders behind. The safest rule is simple: don't ape into tokens people are openly promoting online. You're either the one being sold to, or you won't be ready to sell when everyone else does.

"You see it's true, an ape like me, can learn to be like someone like you."

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