CryptoReal
CASE FILE — Nov 18, 2021

Study Finds Half of Uniswap V3 Liquidity Providers Are Losing Money

Concentrated liquidity hasn't delivered the payoff Uniswap promised its providers.

A recent academic study finds that roughly half of Uniswap V3 liquidity providers would have come out ahead simply holding their assets instead of supplying liquidity — the fees they collected weren't enough to offset their losses.

When V3 launched, the pitch to LPs was greater capital efficiency through concentrated liquidity positions. Six months in, the added complexity — and the added risk that comes with it — appears to have left close to half of providers worse off under the new model. Even LPs who actively adjusted their positions to time the market failed to beat those who simply left theirs alone. It raises the question of why a liquidity-provision model that wasn't fundamentally broken needed this kind of overhaul.

The researchers, whose team includes people affiliated with rival protocol Bancor, examined non-correlated-asset pools with more than $10 million in TVL — a set of 17 pools accounting for 43% of the platform's total liquidity. Across the period from V3's May 5th launch through September 20th, those pools processed over $100 billion in trading volume and generated roughly $200 million in fees for LPs. Over that same window, though, LPs collectively lost more than $260 million to impermanent loss — a net shortfall exceeding $60 million once fees are netted against it.

Of the roughly 17,000 addresses examined, 49.5% ended up worse off than if they'd simply held their tokens. In 80% of the pools studied, impermanent loss exceeded whatever fee income LPs had earned. The share of losing users varied widely pool to pool, with the MKR/WETH pool posting the worst outcome — 74% of its participants ended up in the red.

Sums referenced in this case file

The study also asked whether actively managing a position beats passive provision, tracking how long positions were held against the balance of fees earned versus impermanent loss incurred. The data show LPs losing money across every time horizon longer than one second — reflected in an IL-to-fees ratio above 1 throughout — but counterintuitively, positions held longer ("passive") fared better than short-duration, actively managed ones.

The single exception is flash liquidity provision confined to one block, commonly called just-in-time (JIT) liquidity. JIT liquidity is supplied by a small number of MEV searchers — currently just two — who monitor the mempool for large pending trades, then add and immediately withdraw a liquidity position within that same block. By using V3's concentrated-liquidity mechanics to set an extremely tight price range around the incoming trade, they capture an outsized share of that trade's fee. Beyond the substantial returns this yields on individual trades, JIT positions sidestep impermanent loss entirely simply because they never exist outside a single block.

That option isn't available to ordinary retail users, who may not even realize that a portion of their expected fee income is being skimmed off by these searchers while impermanent loss keeps eating into their returns.

In effect, Uniswap's added complexity has hurt the very users the redesign was meant to help, and fee income hasn't been sufficient to keep LP positions balanced. The bet that sophisticated traders would actively optimize the market on the protocol's behalf hasn't panned out so far. As JIT bots proliferate, ordinary LP profitability may only keep eroding further.

Attention within the industry is increasingly shifting away from conventional yield farming toward alternatives like bonds and protocol-owned liquidity — an approach Bancor itself is now pursuing through its own program. If impermanent loss really is as damaging as this data suggests, it may be worth reconsidering whether yield farming, in its current form, is a strategy with much longevity left.

The study's authors put it plainly: "on a global level, IL wipes out all fees earned by Uniswap v3 liquidity providers. In other words, as a group they would have been better off HODLing than providing liquidity on Uniswap v3."

Uniswap
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